Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills
All Los Angeles Chargers predictions · All Buffalo Bills predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:02 PM · Final: 16-24
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Chargers | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +275 | -350 |
| BetRivers | +280 | -375 |
| DraftKings | +260 | -325 |
| ESPN BET | +270 | -340 |
| Fanatics | +275 | -350 |
| FanDuel | +300 | -375 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +275 | -375 |
| Caesars | +265 | -335 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Chargers | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +7 -112 | −7 -105 |
| BetRivers | +7 -105 | −7 -117 |
| DraftKings | +7 -108 | −7 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +7 -105 | −7 -115 |
| Fanatics | +7 -110 | −7 -110 |
| FanDuel | +7.5 -122 | −7.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +7 -110 | −7 -110 |
| Caesars | +7 -106 | −7 -114 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 50.5 -108 | 50.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 50 -113 | 50 -108 |
| DraftKings | 50.5 -105 | 50.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 50.5 -105 | 50.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 50.5 -105 | 50.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 50.5 -105 | 50.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 50 -115 | 50 -110 |
| Caesars | 50.5 -105 | 50.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Chargers | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 25.0% | 76.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 24.5% | 75.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.