Buffalo Bills predictions
Every Buffalo Bills game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.
Next game
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
2026-11-01 · 1:00 PM · Buffalo Bills at home · see the model's call and the best price →
How the model has done on Buffalo Bills
| Measure | Games | Right | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every Buffalo Bills game we called | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Games where the model made Buffalo Bills the favorite | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Buffalo Bills correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.
Recent Buffalo Bills calls
| Date | Game | Called | Confidence | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders | Buffalo Bills | 68.1% | 33-30 | ✓ |
| 2026-10-12 | Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams | 61.2% | 37-34 | ✗ |
| 2026-10-04 | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills | 74.1% | 29-26 | ✗ |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills | 74.5% | 16-24 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-17 | Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills | 68.0% | 31-41 | ✓ |
| 2026-09-13 | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | Buffalo Bills | 52.0% | 36-31 | ✓ |