New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
All New England Patriots predictions · All Jacksonville Jaguars predictions
NFL · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:02 PM · Final: 6-35
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New England Patriots | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 |
| BetRivers | +132 | -157 |
| DraftKings | +136 | -162 |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -165 |
| Fanatics | +135 | -165 |
| FanDuel | +134 | -158 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +135 | -160 |
| Caesars | +134 | -159 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Patriots | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −3 -102 | +3 -118 |
| BetRivers | +3 -112 | −3 -109 |
| DraftKings | +3 -115 | −3 -105 |
| ESPN BET | +3 -115 | −3 -105 |
| Fanatics | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 +100 | −2.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3 -115 | −3 -105 |
| Caesars | +3 -115 | −3 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 46 -120 | 46 -110 |
| BetRivers | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -115 | 46.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New England Patriots | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.7% | 42.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.