New York Jets at Chicago Bears
All New York Jets predictions · All Chicago Bears predictions
NFL · Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:02 PM · Final: 12-23
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Jets | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +155 | -190 |
| DraftKings | +160 | -192 |
| ESPN BET | +160 | -190 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +158 | -188 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +160 | -195 |
| Caesars | +160 | -193 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Jets | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3.5 -108 | −3.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -114 | −3.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +3.5 -110 | −3.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +3.5 -110 | −3.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 -110 | −3.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -110 | −3.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +3.5 -110 | −3.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -112 | −3.5 -108 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 43.5 -108 | 43.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 43.5 -109 | 43.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 43.5 -105 | 43.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 43.5 -105 | 43.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 43.5 -105 | 43.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Jets | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.5% | 65.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.