New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
MLB · Saturday, July 4, 2026 · 8:09 PM · Final: 3-14
The model's call
Atlanta Braves to win
Model confidence 62.6%
Books consensus 62.6%
Result Atlanta Braves won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +150 | -190 |
| DraftKings | +158 | -193 |
| ESPN BET | +160 | -190 |
| Fanatics | +155 | -190 |
| FanDuel | +154 | -184 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -190 |
| Caesars | +162 | -195 |
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