Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons

All Cincinnati Bengals predictions · All Atlanta Falcons predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 9:30 AM

The model's call
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Model confidence 60.4%
Books consensus 60.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Cincinnati BengalsAtlanta Falcons
BetRivers -175 +140
DraftKings -170 +142
FanDuel -168 +142
Novig -163 +138
Caesars -170 +144

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bengals −3
priced 51.3% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 49.5
priced 49.8% over · 4 books
Spread by book BengalsFalcons
BetRivers −3 -115 +3 -106
DraftKings −3 -120 +3 +100
FanDuel −3 -115 +3 -105
Caesars −3 -117 +3 -103
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 49.5 -109 49.5 -112
DraftKings 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
FanDuel 49.5 -105 49.5 -115
Caesars 49.5 -110 49.5 -110
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