Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers

All Houston Texans predictions · All Los Angeles Chargers predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 4:05 PM

The model's call
Houston Texans to win
Model confidence 62.6%
Books consensus 62.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Houston TexansLos Angeles Chargers
BetRivers -177 +140
DraftKings -185 +154
FanDuel -190 +160
Novig -182 +163
Caesars -190 +155

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Texans −3.5
priced 50.3% to cover · 4 books
opened Texans −3
Total
O/U 42.5
priced 49.5% over · 4 books
Spread by book TexansChargers
BetRivers −3.5 -105 +3.5 -117
DraftKings −3.5 -110 +3.5 -110
FanDuel −3.5 -115 +3.5 -105
Caesars −3.5 -112 +3.5 -107
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 42.5 -109 42.5 -112
DraftKings 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
FanDuel 42.5 -105 42.5 -115
Caesars 42.5 -107 42.5 -114
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