Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Houston Texans predictions

Every Houston Texans game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

Next game

Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers

2026-11-08 · 4:05 PM · Houston Texans on the road · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on Houston Texans

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Houston Texans game we called 72 28.6%
Games where the model made Houston Texans the favorite 51 20.0%

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Houston Texans correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Houston Texans calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-10-25 New York Giants @ Houston Texans Houston Texans 80.0% 27-21 ✗
2026-10-18 Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars 55.8% 34-31 ✗
2026-10-11 Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Houston Texans 73.4% 26-3 ✓
2026-10-04 Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans Houston Texans 58.1% 34-30 ✗
2026-09-27 Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Houston Texans 53.3% 17-19 ✗
2026-09-20 Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans Houston Texans 57.7% 20-6 ✗
2026-09-13 Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Buffalo Bills 52.0% 36-31 ✓

The full record → · How the model works → · Today's board →