Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots
All Green Bay Packers predictions · All New England Patriots predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 4:25 PM
The model's call
New England Patriots to win
Model confidence 58.2%
Books consensus 58.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Green Bay Packers | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +125 | -152 |
| DraftKings | +145 | -175 |
| FanDuel | +130 | -154 |
| Novig | +127 | -156 |
| Caesars | +142 | -170 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Patriots −3
priced 50.8% to cover · 2 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 50.0% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
opened 46.5
| Spread by book | Packers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +2.5 -105 | −2.5 -117 |
| DraftKings | +3 -105 | −3 -115 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 -104 | −2.5 -118 |
| Caesars | +3 -108 | −3 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 46.5 -108 | 46.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 |
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