Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears

All Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions · All Chicago Bears predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:20 PM

The model's call
Chicago Bears to win
Model confidence 71.9%
Books consensus 71.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Tampa Bay BuccaneersChicago Bears
BetRivers +240 -305
DraftKings +215 -265
FanDuel +250 -310
Novig +245 -317
Caesars +225 -275

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bears −6
priced 50.0% to cover · 3 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 48.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book BuccaneersBears
BetRivers +6 -108 −6 -113
DraftKings +6 -110 −6 -110
FanDuel +6.5 -110 −6.5 -110
Caesars +6 -110 −6 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 48.5 -109 48.5 -112
DraftKings 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
FanDuel 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
Caesars 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
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