Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings

All Buffalo Bills predictions · All Minnesota Vikings predictions

NFL · Monday, November 9, 2026 · 8:15 PM

The model's call
Buffalo Bills to win
Model confidence 55.9%
Books consensus 55.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Buffalo BillsMinnesota Vikings
BetRivers -141 +117
DraftKings -142 +120
FanDuel -138 +118
Novig -125 +117
Caesars -139 +118

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bills −2.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 47.5
priced 50.3% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book BillsVikings
BetRivers −2.5 -109 +2.5 -112
DraftKings −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
FanDuel −2.5 -110 +2.5 -110
Caesars −2.5 -109 +2.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 48 -110 48 -110
DraftKings 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
FanDuel 48.5 -104 48.5 -118
Caesars 47.5 -113 47.5 -107
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