Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Washington Commanders at New York Giants

All Washington Commanders predictions · All New York Giants predictions

NFL · Thursday, November 12, 2026 · 8:15 PM

The model's call
New York Giants to win
Model confidence 52.6%
Books consensus 52.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Washington CommandersNew York Giants
DraftKings -102 -118
FanDuel +102 -120
Novig +106 -120
Caesars +104 -122

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Giants −1.5
priced 49.0% to cover · 3 books
Total
O/U 44.5
priced 50.0% over · 1 book, 2 on another number
Spread by book CommandersGiants
DraftKings +1.5 -115 −1.5 -105
FanDuel +1.5 -112 −1.5 -108
Caesars +1.5 -114 −1.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
DraftKings 44.5 -110 44.5 -110
FanDuel 45.5 -105 45.5 -115
Caesars 45 -113 45 -107
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