Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Washington Commanders predictions

Every Washington Commanders game we price, the model's call, and the best moneyline across sportsbooks — with the record of how those calls actually turned out. Nothing edited, nothing deleted.

Next game

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders

2026-11-01 · 8:20 PM · Washington Commanders at home · see the model's call and the best price →

How the model has done on Washington Commanders

MeasureGamesRight Hit rate
Every Washington Commanders game we called 54 80.0%
Games where the model made Washington Commanders the favorite 00 —

A hit rate here is not an edge, and we do not present it as one. Our probability is the de-vigged consensus of the sportsbooks, so this measures whether the market reads Washington Commanders correctly — and on a sample this size it mostly measures variance. The arithmetic on how many games that takes is in the Lab.

Recent Washington Commanders calls

DateGameCalled ConfidenceFinal
2026-10-19 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers 76.2% 17-23 ✓
2026-10-04 Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders Indianapolis Colts 66.9% 30-13 ✓
2026-09-27 Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders Seattle Seahawks 77.2% 31-33 ✗
2026-09-20 Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys 65.1% 20-37 ✓
2026-09-13 Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles 69.4% 22-24 ✓

The full record → · How the model works → · Today's board →