New England Patriots at Detroit Lions
All New England Patriots predictions · All Detroit Lions predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 9:30 AM
The model's call
New England Patriots to win
Model confidence 54.1%
Books consensus 54.1%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | New England Patriots | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | -130 | +107 |
| DraftKings | -130 | +110 |
| Novig | -125 | +102 |
| Caesars | -130 | +110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Patriots −1.5
priced 50.2% to cover · 2 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 49.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books
| Spread by book | Patriots | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | −2 -110 | +2 -110 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -112 | +1.5 -108 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 49.5 -109 | 49.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
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