Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets

All Buffalo Bills predictions · All New York Jets predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM

The model's call
Buffalo Bills to win
Model confidence 78.8%
Books consensus 78.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Buffalo BillsNew York Jets
DraftKings -410 +320
FanDuel -490 +380
Novig -506 +376
Caesars -440 +330

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bills −7.5
priced 51.0% to cover · 3 books
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 50.0% over · 2 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book BillsJets
DraftKings −7.5 -110 +7.5 -110
FanDuel −7.5 -115 +7.5 -105
Caesars −7.5 -114 +7.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
DraftKings 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
FanDuel 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Caesars 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
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