Kansas City Royals at New York Mets
MLB · Wednesday, July 8, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 2-6
The model's call
New York Mets to win
Model confidence 63.6%
Books consensus 63.6%
Result New York Mets won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas City Royals | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +165 | -200 |
| BetRivers | +145 | -182 |
| DraftKings | +163 | -199 |
| ESPN BET | +160 | -190 |
| Fanatics | +165 | -200 |
| FanDuel | +164 | -196 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +165 | -200 |
| Caesars | +162 | -195 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.