Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns
All Houston Texans predictions · All Cleveland Browns predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM
The model's call
Houston Texans to win
Model confidence 63.5%
Books consensus 63.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Houston Texans | Cleveland Browns |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -205 | +170 |
| FanDuel | -190 | +160 |
| Novig | -190 | +160 |
| Caesars | -200 | +167 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Texans −3.5
priced 50.8% to cover · 2 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 39.5
priced 50.0% over · 3 books
| Spread by book | Texans | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | −4.5 -105 | +4.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −3.5 -115 | +3.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −3.5 -112 | +3.5 -107 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 39.5 -110 | 39.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 39.5 -110 | 39.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 39.5 -110 | 39.5 -110 |
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