Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
All Indianapolis Colts predictions · All Houston Texans predictions
NFL · Thursday, November 19, 2026 · 8:15 PM
The model's call
Houston Texans to win
Model confidence 79.8%
Books consensus 79.8%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Indianapolis Colts | Houston Texans |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +375 | -500 |
| DraftKings | +350 | -455 |
| FanDuel | +410 | -550 |
| Novig | +413 | -488 |
| Caesars | +375 | -500 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Texans −10
priced 50.0% to cover · 3 books, 1 on another number
Total
O/U 43.5
priced 48.5% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
| Spread by book | Colts | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +10 -107 | −10 -114 |
| DraftKings | +10 -110 | −10 -110 |
| FanDuel | +9.5 -105 | −9.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +10 -109 | −10 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 44 -113 | 44 -108 |
| DraftKings | 44.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 43.5 +100 | 43.5 -120 |
| Caesars | 43.5 -106 | 43.5 -114 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.