Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills
All Miami Dolphins predictions · All Buffalo Bills predictions
NFL · Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM
The model's call
Buffalo Bills to win
Model confidence 91.0%
Books consensus 91.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Miami Dolphins | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +950 | -2000 |
| DraftKings | +1000 | -1800 |
| FanDuel | +980 | -1800 |
| Caesars | +900 | -1700 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread
Bills −16.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 46.5
priced 50.0% over · 4 books
| Spread by book | Dolphins | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +16.5 -110 | −16.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | +16.5 -110 | −16.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +16.5 -110 | −16.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +16.5 -109 | −16.5 -109 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 46.5 -105 | 46.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 |
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