Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears

All New Orleans Saints predictions · All Chicago Bears predictions

NFL · Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM

The model's call
Chicago Bears to win
Model confidence 80.0%
Books consensus 80.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book New Orleans SaintsChicago Bears
BetRivers +370 -500
DraftKings +360 -470
FanDuel +430 -590
Novig +426 -488
Caesars +380 -500

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bears −9.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 49
priced 50.2% over · 2 books, 2 on another number
Spread by book SaintsBears
BetRivers +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
DraftKings +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
FanDuel +9.5 -105 −9.5 -115
Caesars +9.5 -109 −9.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 49 -112 49 -109
DraftKings 48.5 -110 48.5 -110
FanDuel 49.5 -105 49.5 -115
Caesars 49 -110 49 -110
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