Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders

All Cincinnati Bengals predictions · All Washington Commanders predictions

NFL · Monday, November 23, 2026 · 8:15 PM

The model's call
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Model confidence 64.6%
Books consensus 64.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Cincinnati BengalsWashington Commanders
BetRivers -210 +170
DraftKings -205 +170
FanDuel -210 +176
Novig -199 +163
Caesars -205 +171

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bengals −4
priced 50.2% to cover · 2 books, 2 on another number
Total
O/U 51.5
priced 50.0% over · 4 books
Spread by book BengalsCommanders
BetRivers −4 -108 +4 -113
DraftKings −3.5 -115 +3.5 -105
FanDuel −4.5 +100 +4.5 -120
Caesars −4 -114 +4 -106
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 51.5 -108 51.5 -113
DraftKings 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
FanDuel 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
Caesars 51.5 -110 51.5 -110
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