Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds
All Miami Marlins predictions · All Cincinnati Reds predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 15, 2026 · 6:41 PM · Final: 8-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | +102 | -115 |
| DraftKings | -102 | -105 |
| ESPN BET | -102 | -111 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -105 |
| Caesars | -105 | -105 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 49.5% | 51.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Markets average | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.