Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
All Philadelphia Phillies predictions · All Minnesota Twins predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 15, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 9-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Philadelphia Phillies | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +115 |
| BetRivers | -137 | +120 |
| DraftKings | -133 | +123 |
| ESPN BET | -131 | +116 |
| Fanatics | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -126 | +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -125 | +115 |
| Caesars | -130 | +120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Philadelphia Phillies | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 55.6% | 44.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Markets average | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.