St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
All St. Louis Cardinals predictions · All Chicago Cubs predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 16, 2026 · 3:16 PM · Final: 11-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | St. Louis Cardinals | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +155 | -177 |
| DraftKings | +159 | -171 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -177 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| FanDuel | +152 | -166 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +160 | -170 |
| Caesars | +162 | -177 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | St. Louis Cardinals | Chicago Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.2% | 62.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Markets average | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.