Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
All Miami Marlins predictions · All Philadelphia Phillies predictions
MLB · Monday, August 17, 2026 · 6:42 PM · Final: 5-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +220 | -275 |
| BetRivers | +225 | -265 |
| DraftKings | +232 | -252 |
| ESPN BET | +229 | -265 |
| Fanatics | +210 | -260 |
| FanDuel | +225 | -245 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +230 | -240 |
| Caesars | +230 | -260 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 29.8% | 70.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 30.1% | 70.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 30.5% | 69.5% |
| Markets average | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.