Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins
MLB · Friday, July 10, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 3-2
The model's call
Miami Marlins to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Books consensus 53.2%
Result Cleveland Guardians won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cleveland Guardians | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -125 |
| BetRivers | -104 | -121 |
| DraftKings | +101 | -122 |
| ESPN BET | +105 | -125 |
| Fanatics | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | +104 | -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -125 |
| Caesars | +105 | -125 |
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