San Diego Padres at New York Mets
All San Diego Padres predictions · All New York Mets predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 19, 2026 · 1:12 PM · Final: 2-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Diego Padres | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -150 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -137 | +120 |
| DraftKings | -136 | +126 |
| ESPN BET | -136 | +121 |
| Fanatics | -145 | +120 |
| FanDuel | -136 | +126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -135 | +125 |
| Caesars | -135 | +125 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Diego Padres | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 57.4% | 44.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Markets average | 56.5% | 43.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.