Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
All Miami Marlins predictions · All Philadelphia Phillies predictions
MLB · Wednesday, August 19, 2026 · 6:06 PM · Final: 1-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +120 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +116 | -137 |
| DraftKings | +131 | -140 |
| ESPN BET | +126 | -142 |
| Fanatics | +125 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +132 | -142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -140 |
| Caesars | +134 | -144 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Miami Marlins | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 42.7% | 57.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Markets average | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.