Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
MLB · Friday, July 10, 2026 · 8:06 PM · Final: 3-7
The model's call
Houston Astros to win
Model confidence 56.1%
Books consensus 56.1%
Result Texas Rangers won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Texas Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -145 | +118 |
| BetRivers | -141 | +114 |
| DraftKings | -137 | +114 |
| ESPN BET | -140 | +120 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -142 | +120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -145 | +120 |
| Caesars | -140 | +118 |
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