New York Mets at Chicago White Sox
All New York Mets predictions · All Chicago White Sox predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 7:10 PM · Final: 10-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -103 | -118 |
| DraftKings | -103 | -104 |
| ESPN BET | -102 | -111 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -104 | -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -105 |
| Caesars | -107 | -103 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Mets | Chicago White Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.5% | 50.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Polymarket contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Markets average | 49.2% | 50.8% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.