Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks
All Cincinnati Reds predictions · All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 22, 2026 · 8:10 PM · Final: 11-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Reds | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +165 | -200 |
| BetRivers | +170 | -195 |
| DraftKings | +173 | -187 |
| ESPN BET | +170 | -193 |
| Fanatics | +160 | -195 |
| FanDuel | +170 | -184 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +170 | -180 |
| Caesars | +172 | -192 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cincinnati Reds | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 36.6% | 64.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Markets average | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.