Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
All Pittsburgh Pirates predictions · All San Diego Padres predictions
MLB · Monday, August 24, 2026 · 9:40 PM · Final: 3-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 |
| BetRivers | +102 | -115 |
| DraftKings | +104 | -112 |
| ESPN BET | +102 | -115 |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | +102 | -112 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -110 |
| Caesars | +107 | -118 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 48.3% | 52.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Markets average | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.