Baltimore Orioles at Athletics
All Baltimore Orioles predictions · All Athletics predictions
MLB · Friday, August 28, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 4-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Baltimore Orioles | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -115 | -105 |
| BetRivers | -110 | -103 |
| DraftKings | -108 | +101 |
| ESPN BET | -111 | -102 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -108 | +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -110 | +100 |
| Caesars | -111 | +101 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Orioles | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -165 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +138 | +1.5 -167 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -163 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +140 | +1.5 -165 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -165 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +134 | +1.5 -162 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -155 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -160 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -102 | 9.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 9 -121 | 9 +100 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 -102 | 9.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -104 | 9.5 -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +105 | 9.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Baltimore Orioles | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 51.9% | 49.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.