Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
All Boston Red Sox predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 1:07 PM · Final: 6-0
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -103 | -112 |
| DraftKings | -103 | -104 |
| ESPN BET | -102 | -111 |
| Fanatics | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuel | -104 | -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -110 |
| Caesars | -103 | -107 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Red Sox | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +165 | +1.5 -200 |
| BetRivers | −1 +130 | +1 -159 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -195 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -190 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -200 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +158 | +1.5 -192 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -210 | −1.5 +200 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -195 | −1.5 +162 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -112 | 7.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -112 | 7.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Boston Red Sox | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.0% | 51.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Polymarket contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Markets average | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.