Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds
MLB · Saturday, July 11, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 5-3
The model's call
Cincinnati Reds to win
Model confidence 51.6%
Books consensus 51.6%
Result Chicago Cubs won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago Cubs | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -102 | -118 |
| BetRivers | -117 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -102 | -118 |
| ESPN BET | +100 | -120 |
| Fanatics | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -105 | -115 |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.