Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
All Boston Red Sox predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 30, 2026 · 1:36 PM · Final: 1-16
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Boston Red Sox | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -150 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -137 | +120 |
| DraftKings | -141 | +131 |
| ESPN BET | -142 | +126 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| FanDuel | -138 | +128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +130 |
| Caesars | -145 | +135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Red Sox | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -145 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +117 | +1.5 -141 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +119 | +1.5 -144 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -135 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| BetRivers | 8 -107 | 8 -112 |
| DraftKings | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| FanDuel | 8 -106 | 8 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 8 -120 | 8 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Boston Red Sox | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 57.8% | 42.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Polymarket contract price | 57.5% | 42.5% |
| Markets average | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.