Baltimore Orioles at Athletics
All Baltimore Orioles predictions · All Athletics predictions
MLB · Sunday, August 30, 2026 · 4:06 PM · Final: 8-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Baltimore Orioles | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -155 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -152 | +135 |
| DraftKings | -147 | +137 |
| ESPN BET | -148 | +131 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| FanDuel | -144 | +134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -145 | +135 |
| Caesars | -145 | +135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Orioles | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -106 | +1.5 -115 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +104 | +1.5 -125 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +104 | +1.5 -125 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -120 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| BetRivers | 10 -106 | 10 -114 |
| DraftKings | 10 -108 | 10 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -125 | 9.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -124 | 9.5 +102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Baltimore Orioles | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 59.0% | 42.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.