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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

MLB · Thursday, July 16, 2026 · 7:11 PM

The model's call
Philadelphia Phillies to win
Model confidence 55.4%
Market consensus 55.4%

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book New York MetsPhiladelphia Phillies
BetMGM +115 -140
Fanatics +115 -140
FanDuel +112 -132
Caesars +115 -135

Prediction markets vs the books

What event-contract traders say this game is worth, next to the sportsbooks' de-vigged consensus. Amber = a gap of 3+ points — two markets disagree, and one of them is wrong.

Source New York MetsPhiladelphia Phillies
Books consensus 44.6% 55.4%
Polymarket 44.6% 55.4%

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