New York Mets at New York Yankees
All New York Mets predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 1:36 PM · Final: 12-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +135 | -165 |
| BetRivers | +140 | -167 |
| DraftKings | +141 | -171 |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -165 |
| Fanatics | +135 | -165 |
| FanDuel | +138 | -164 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +140 | -170 |
| Caesars | +140 | -165 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Mets | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -148 | −1.5 +120 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -160 | −1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -150 | −1.5 +125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -155 | −1.5 +130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| BetRivers | 8 -121 | 8 -118 |
| DraftKings | 8 -114 | 8 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 +104 | 8.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Mets | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 40.1% | 59.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.5% | 62.1% |
| Kalshi contract price | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.