New York Mets at New York Yankees
All New York Mets predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:56 PM · Final: 0-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +150 | -185 |
| BetRivers | +145 | -177 |
| DraftKings | +152 | -185 |
| ESPN BET | +150 | -175 |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 |
| FanDuel | +154 | -184 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -185 |
| Caesars | +158 | -190 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Mets | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -148 | −1.5 +118 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -143 | −1.5 +119 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -142 | −1.5 +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +120 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +118 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -102 | 8 -118 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | 8 -109 | 8 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Mets | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.8% | 63.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.