Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays
All Houston Astros predictions · All Tampa Bay Rays predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:41 PM · Final: 4-14
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | -130 |
| BetRivers | +118 | -139 |
| DraftKings | +110 | -133 |
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +106 | -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -130 |
| Caesars | +105 | -125 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Astros | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -186 | −1.5 +150 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -192 | −1.5 +158 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +160 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -196 | −1.5 +162 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -195 | −1.5 +160 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +158 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | 8 -104 | 8 -116 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -122 | 7.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Houston Astros | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 45.9% | 55.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Polymarket contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Markets average | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.