Washington Nationals at Athletics
MLB · Friday, July 17, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 23-4
The model's call
Washington Nationals to win
Model confidence 55.3%
Books consensus 55.3%
Result Washington Nationals won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Washington Nationals | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -135 | +115 |
| BetRivers | -130 | +115 |
| DraftKings | -136 | +113 |
| ESPN BET | -135 | +115 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -136 | +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -135 | +115 |
| Caesars | -135 | +115 |
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