Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 22, 2026 · 1:06 PM · Final: 0-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +120 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +116 | -137 |
| DraftKings | +120 | -145 |
| ESPN BET | +120 | -140 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +120 | -145 |
| Caesars | +120 | -140 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +163 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -192 | −1.5 +157 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +160 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +160 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -184 | −1.5 +152 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -195 | −1.5 +160 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +158 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -102 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -103 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -118 | 6.5 -102 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -121 | 6.5 +103 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 45.0% | 57.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Polymarket contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Markets average | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.