Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 7:06 PM · Final: 2-9
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +118 | -145 |
| BetRivers | +128 | -152 |
| DraftKings | +118 | -143 |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +122 | -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +120 | -145 |
| Caesars | +122 | -150 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -195 | −1.5 +155 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +164 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +165 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +164 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -197 | −1.5 +167 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 6.5 -114 | 6.5 -107 |
| DraftKings | 6.5 -114 | 6.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 6.5 -112 | 6.5 -106 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.9% | 57.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| Markets average | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.