Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
All Tampa Bay Rays predictions · All New York Yankees predictions
MLB · Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 7:06 PM · Final: 4-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +128 | -152 |
| DraftKings | +123 | -149 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +124 | -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -150 |
| Caesars | +124 | -145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Rays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -194 | −1.5 +159 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +160 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +160 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +164 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +158 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 6 -102 | 6 -118 |
| BetRivers | 6 -125 | 6 -114 |
| DraftKings | 6 -102 | 6 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 6 -105 | 6 -115 |
| FanDuel | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 6 -111 | 6 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 42.9% | 57.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 43.9% | 59.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Markets average | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.