Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox
All Cleveland Guardians predictions · All Boston Red Sox predictions
MLB · Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 6:46 PM · Final: 1-0
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cleveland Guardians | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +110 | -130 |
| BetRivers | +114 | -136 |
| DraftKings | +107 | -129 |
| ESPN BET | +110 | -130 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +110 | -130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +110 | -130 |
| Caesars | +112 | -132 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cleveland Guardians | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.7% | 56.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Polymarket contract price | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Markets average | 46.3% | 53.8% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.