Houston Astros at Athletics
All Houston Astros predictions · All Athletics predictions
MLB · Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 7-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -185 | +150 |
| BetRivers | -167 | +138 |
| DraftKings | -184 | +151 |
| ESPN BET | -175 | +150 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 |
| FanDuel | -178 | +150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -180 | +150 |
| Caesars | -176 | +148 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -112 | +1.5 -107 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -118 | +1.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -109 | +1.5 -108 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11 -105 | 11 -115 |
| BetRivers | 11 -114 | 11 -124 |
| DraftKings | 11 -112 | 11 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 10.5 -130 | 10.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 11 -115 | 11 -105 |
| FanDuel | 10.5 -130 | 10.5 +106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 11.5 +110 | 11.5 -135 |
| Caesars | 11 -105 | 11 -112 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 62.5% | 39.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.