Houston Astros at Athletics
All Houston Astros predictions · All Athletics predictions
MLB · Friday, September 25, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 5-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -200 | +165 |
| BetRivers | -177 | +148 |
| DraftKings | -203 | +166 |
| ESPN BET | -185 | +155 |
| Fanatics | -200 | +165 |
| FanDuel | -190 | +160 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -195 | +160 |
| Caesars | -205 | +170 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -115 | +1.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -119 | +1.5 -101 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -110 | +1.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -120 | +1.5 +100 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -118 | +1.5 -102 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9.5 -102 | 9.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 9 -130 | 9 -110 |
| DraftKings | 9.5 -103 | 9.5 -117 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 +105 | 9.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 9.5 +100 | 9.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 +104 | 9.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 +105 | 9.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 9.5 -102 | 9.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 63.9% | 37.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.