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Houston Astros at Athletics

All Houston Astros predictions · All Athletics predictions

MLB · Friday, September 25, 2026 · 9:41 PM

The model's call
Houston Astros to win
Model confidence 60.9%
Books consensus 60.9%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Houston AstrosAthletics
BetMGM -180 +145
BetRivers -175 +145
DraftKings -180 +148
ESPN BET -170 +145
Fanatics -180 +150
FanDuel -172 +144
Hard Rock Bet -175 +145
Caesars -173 +146

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Houston AstrosAthletics
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 60.9% 39.1%
Best book price incl. vig 63.0% 40.0%
Kalshi contract price 62.3% 37.7%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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