New York Mets at Washington Nationals
All New York Mets predictions · All Washington Nationals predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 12:36 PM · Final: 7-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | New York Mets | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -112 | -107 |
| DraftKings | -109 | -110 |
| ESPN BET | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -108 | -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -110 | -110 |
| Caesars | -108 | -108 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | New York Mets | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 51.9% | 51.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Markets average | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.