Houston Astros at Athletics
All Houston Astros predictions · All Athletics predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 13-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -170 | +140 |
| BetRivers | -175 | +140 |
| DraftKings | -172 | +142 |
| ESPN BET | -165 | +140 |
| Fanatics | -170 | +140 |
| FanDuel | -162 | +136 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -165 | +135 |
| Caesars | -175 | +145 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -112 | +1.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -114 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -105 | +1.5 -113 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 10 -102 | 10 -118 |
| BetRivers | 10 -114 | 10 -125 |
| DraftKings | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | 10 -105 | 10 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.5 -115 | 9.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 9.5 -120 | 9.5 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Houston Astros | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 60.2% | 39.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 61.8% | 40.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.